Linda S. Goldberg
Federal Reserve Bank of New York,
and
Rafael Tenorio
DePaul University
Abstract
The market microstructure chosen for foreign exchange markets can influence
trading volumes and equilibrium exchange rates. With emerging markets and
developing countries increasingly utilizing two- sided auctions, we show
that the choice of the discrete 'tatonnement' auction creates incentives
for strategic behavior among market participants. We provide theoretical
predictions on strategic under-revelation of demand or supply positions
that are supported empirically using detailed data from a rare example
of a tatonnement market, the Moscow Interbank Currency Exchange. Our results
are also consistent with findings from experimental work on auctions: new
entrants altered strategic behavior mainly on the market's demand side,
without comparable implications for the supply side. We also show that
bids and offers were influenced by fundamentals and specific policy measures.
JEL Codes: D44, F31